AFL Grand Final 2024 tips: Predictions for premier, winning margin, Norm Smith medallist, first goalkicker, expert tipping for Sydney Swans vs Brisbane Lions

It’ll be repeat heartbreak whatever happens on Saturday, with 2022 runners-up Sydney and 2023 runners-up Brisbane duelling it out for the 2024 premiership.

And according to Fox Footy’s analysts, it’ll be more pain for John Longmire, with Brisbane favoured to claim the crown.

Of the 16 sets of predictions, 11 see the Lions backed to become the second team to win the flag from outside the top-four this century.

Watch the best build-up to the 2024 AFL Grand Final, with expert analysis, the Grand Final Parade and full Grand Final day coverage, on Fox Footy via Kayo. New to Kayo? Start your free trial today >

The two superstars Isaac Heeney and Lachie Neale are the most popular Norm Smith Medal picks for best-on-ground, with former Hawthorn sharpshooter Ben Dixon even picking Heeney to win the award in a losing effort.

The race for the opening goal of the game is wide-open as always, but crafty Lion Charlie Cameron is well-backed despite a difficult campaign.

See the expert verdict on the Grand Final result, Norm Smith Medal and first goalkicker.

JONATHAN BROWN (Fox Footy)

Premier: Brisbane

Norm Smith Medallist: Lachie Neale (Brisbane)

NATHAN BUCKLEY (Fox Footy)

Premier: Brisbane

Norm Smith Medallist: Jarrod Berry (Brisbane)

BEN COTTON (Foxfooty.com.au)

Premier and margin: Brisbane by 8 points

Norm Smith Medallist: Lachie Neale (Brisbane)

First goalkicker: Zac Bailey (Brisbane)

BEN DIXON (Fox Footy)

Premier and margin: Brisbane by 1 point

Norm Smith Medallist: Isaac Heeney (Sydney)

First goalkicker: Charlie Cameron (Brisbane)

WILL FAULKNER (Foxfooty.com.au)

Premier and margin: Sydney by 13 points

Norm Smith Medallist: Chad Warner (Sydney)

First goalkicker: Callum Ah Chee (Brisbane)

CATHERINE HEALEY (Foxfooty.com.au)

Premier and margin: Sydney by 27 points

Norm Smith Medallist: Isaac Heeney (Sydney)

First goalkicker: Chad Warner (Sydney)

ANTHONY HUDSON (Fox Footy)

Premier and margin: Sydney by 11 points

Norm Smith Medallist: Chad Warner (Sydney)

First goalkicker: Logan Morris (Brisbane)

JACK JOVANOVSKI (Foxfooty.com.au)

Premier and margin: Brisbane by 4 points

Norm Smith Medallist: Hugh McCluggage (Brisbane)

First goalkicker: Charlie Cameron (Brisbane)

MAX LAUGHTON (Foxfooty.com.au)

Premier and margin: Brisbane by 17 points

Norm Smith Medallist: Lachie Neale (Brisbane)

First goalkicker: Joe Daniher (Brisbane)

JORDAN LEWIS (Fox Footy)

Premier and margin: Brisbane by 12 points

Norm Smith Medallist: Zac Bailey (Brisbane)

First goalkicker: Callum Ah Chee (Brisbane)

GARRY LYON (Fox Footy)

Premier: Brisbane

Norm Smith Medallist: Will Ashcroft (Brisbane)

LEIGH MONTAGNA (Fox Footy)

Premier and margin: Brisbane by 6 points

Norm Smith Medallist: Will Ashcroft (Brisbane)

First goalkicker: Chad Warner (Sydney)

CHLOE MOLLOY (Sydney Swans AFLW)

Premier and margin: Sydney by 5 points

Norm Smith Medallist: Isaac Heeney (Sydney)

First goalkicker: Zac Bailey (Brisbane)

CAM MOONEY (Fox Footy)

Premier and margin: Sydney by 28 points

Norm Smith Medallist: Isaac Heeney (Sydney)

First goalkicker: Eric Hipwood (Brisbane)

COURTNEY WALSH (Foxfooty.com.au)

Premier and margin: Brisbane by 5 points

Norm Smith Medallist: Lachie Neale (Brisbane)

First goalkicker: Charlie Cameron (Brisbane)

BEN WATERWORTH (Foxfooty.com.au)

Premier and margin: Brisbane by 12 points

Norm Smith Medallist: Hugh McCluggage (Brisbane)

First goalkicker: Charlie Cameron (Brisbane)

FINAL VERDICT

Premiers

11 (of 16) – Brisbane

5 – Sydney

Norm Smith Medal

4 (of 16) – Isaac Heeney (Sydney), Lachie Neale (Brisbane)

2 – Will Ashcroft (Brisbane), Hugh McCluggage (Brisbane), Chad Warner (Sydney)

1 – Zac Bailey (Brisbane), Jarrod Berry (Brisbane)

First goalkicker

4 (of 13) – Charlie Cameron (Brisbane)

2 – Callum Ah Chee (Brisbane), Zac Bailey (Brisbane), Chad Warner (Sydney)

1 – Joe Daniher (Brisbane), Eric Hipwood (Brisbane), Logan Morris (Brisbane)